BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 46 Conference: (3-6) Overall: (8-14) Overall Strength =   57.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/05/2003 Home    L    70.33  49   70   4A    1 (24- 3) Marion Linn-Mar        13.14 *  -34.14                      
  2 12/06/2003 Home    L    56.58  58   79   4A   11 (13-10) CR Jefferson           -0.61    -20.39                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    W *  71.52  77   48   3A   62 ( 4-19) Keokuk                 14.33     14.67                      
  4 01/03/2004 Away    L    57.31  45   76   4A    3 (18- 6) CR Washington           0.12 *  -31.12                      
  5 01/09/2004 Home    L *  51.59  47   54   3A   42 (13-11) Mount Pleasant         -5.60     -1.40                      
  6 01/10/2004 Away    L    53.19  33   58   4A   18 (10-13) Cedar Rapids Kennedy   -4.00    -21.00                      
  7 01/16/2004 Away    L *  47.21  49   64   3A   40 (13- 9) Washington             -9.98     -5.02                      
  8 01/17/2004 Home    W    61.73  59   53   1A   28 (19- 4) Fort Madison Aquinas    4.54      1.46                      
  9 01/20/2004 Home    W    70.27  56   46   4A   41 ( 5-17) Burlington             13.08     -3.08                      
 10 01/23/2004 Home    L *  48.78  52   65   3A   26 (17-10) Fairfield              -8.41     -4.59                      
 11 01/24/2004 Home    W    50.06  48   43   1A   68 (13- 9) West Burlington ND     -7.13     12.13                      
 12 01/30/2004 Away    W *  66.44  66   46   3A   62 ( 4-19) Keokuk                  9.25     10.75                      
 13 01/31/2004 Home    W    57.19  64   50   EX   64 ( 0- 1) Clark County Kahokia   -0.00     14.00                      
 14 02/03/2004 Home    L    40.21  52   63   2A   74 (15-10) Central Lee           -16.99      5.99                      
 15 02/07/2004 Away    L    46.25  30   79   4A    1 (24- 3) Marion Linn-Mar       -10.94 *  -38.06                      
 16 02/09/2004 Away    W    63.06  59   55   2A   73 (18- 5) Danville                5.87     -1.87                      
 17 02/13/2004 Away    W *  78.51  60   44   3A   42 (13-11) Mount Pleasant         21.32     -5.32                      
 18 02/14/2004 Away    L    56.53  32   56   4A   14 (21- 5) Bettendorf             -0.66    -23.34                      
 19 02/20/2004 Home    L *  55.29  56   59   3A   40 (13- 9) Washington             -1.90     -1.10                      
 20 02/21/2004 Away    L    49.96  41   54   4A   43 ( 6-17) Davenport West         -7.24     -5.76                      
 21 02/27/2004 Away    L *  58.70  60   67   3A   26 (17-10) Fairfield               1.51     -8.51                      
 22 03/01/2004 Away    L *  47.51  46   61   3A   42 (13-11) Mount Pleasant         -9.68     -5.32                      
      Averages              57.19  51.8 58.6

Best game:   78.51 = 16 point win over Mount Pleasant
Worst game:  40.21 = 11 point loss to Donnellson Central Lee
Team stdev:   9.70